Rare Earths

Rare Earths and the Chokepoint East Asia's Tech Industry Can't Ignore

China refines close to 90 percent of the world's rare earths. Here is why processing, not mining, is the chokepoint shaping East Asia's technology supply chain.

Rare Earths and the Chokepoint East Asia's Tech Industry Can't Ignore

Rare-earth elements sit inside almost every advanced electronic product made in East Asia, from electric-vehicle traction motors to the precision optics used in chip-making tools. China dominates the processing stage of this supply chain, and that position has become one of the most consequential structural features of the regional technology economy. According to the International Energy Agency, China accounts for roughly 60 percent of global rare-earth mining and close to 90 percent of the refining and separation capacity that turns raw ore into usable oxides and metals.

The distinction between mining and processing explains why the dependency runs so deep. Ore is found in many countries, including the United States, Australia and Myanmar. The chemical separation of the seventeen rare-earth elements, however, is concentrated in a small number of Chinese facilities, and that bottleneck is far harder to relocate than a mine.

Why processing, not mining, is the chokepoint

Rare-earth elements are not actually rare in the earth's crust. The difficulty lies in separating chemically similar elements from one another, a multi-stage solvent-extraction process that is capital-intensive, environmentally demanding and slow to permit elsewhere. China built this capacity over several decades, and the accumulated industrial know-how is as significant a barrier as the plants themselves.

Two elements illustrate the stakes for the technology sector. Neodymium and praseodymium are the backbone of high-strength permanent magnets, the components that make compact, efficient motors possible in electric vehicles, wind turbines and consumer electronics. Dysprosium and terbium, used in smaller quantities, allow those magnets to keep their strength at the high temperatures inside an EV motor. Without reliable access to the heavy rare earths in particular, magnet performance degrades.

Export controls reshaped the conversation

In 2023, China's Ministry of Commerce introduced licensing requirements on exports of gallium and germanium, two metals used in semiconductors and optoelectronics. The following years saw the framework extended to certain rare-earth-related materials and magnet technologies. The controls did not amount to a full embargo, but they signalled that processed critical materials can be used as policy instruments, and that changed how downstream manufacturers in Japan, South Korea and elsewhere plan their inventories.

The move comes after years in which East Asian technology firms had treated steady material supply as a background assumption rather than a strategic risk. Japan learned this lesson earlier than most. After a 2010 dispute disrupted rare-earth shipments, Japanese industry and government invested in alternative sourcing, recycling research and a stake in Australian producer Lynas, which now operates separation capacity in Malaysia. That stake remains one of the few sizeable rare-earth processing operations outside China.

How the region is responding

Diversification is under way, though it is measured in years rather than quarters. Several strands are visible across the region:

  • South Korea has folded rare-earth and critical-mineral security into its broader supply-chain legislation, building stockpiles and supporting magnet-makers that serve its battery and automotive industries.
  • Japan continues to fund recycling and material-substitution research, including magnet designs that reduce the amount of heavy rare earths required per unit.
  • Producers outside the region, including the United States and Australia, are expanding separation capacity, but bringing a new processing plant from permit to full output typically takes the better part of a decade.

What it means for the technology supply chain

For now, the structural reality is straightforward. The advanced motors, sensors, lasers and chip-fabrication tools that define East Asia's technology output depend on a processing step that one country controls at scale. Building a credible alternative is technically possible and already in progress, but it is constrained by the same factors that gave China its lead in the first place: cost, environmental permitting and the slow accumulation of process expertise.

Material security has moved from a procurement detail to a board-level question across the regional technology sector. The companies that treated it that way a decade ago, rather than after the first export-licence announcement, are the ones with the most options today.